Gold climbed a whopping 550 percent in a twelve year run from the August 1999 low at $253 an ounce to the peak at $1,941 in September 2011 spurred by the financial crisis and quantitative easing. Since the peak, gold has fallen 37 percent or 26 percent this year, retesting the lows. Gold trading was interrupted half a dozen times as large futures contracts were dumped on the market raising questions that these leveraged bets were really manipulation. The trading action, however has caused a shortage of physical bullion. Inventory stockpiles on Comex are at record lows such that paper claims per ounce of registered gold are at a whopping 70 times. There is simply not enough gold to satisfy these claims. As such we continue to believe $2,000 an ounce is only an interim objective and gold’s twelve year bull run is not over. This year is the pause that refreshes.”
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