Thursday, December 1, 2011

What Does the Fed Know That We Don’t?

"The thought that should be on every investor’s mind today is “Why did the Fed have to stage the coordinated intervention yesterday?’

Put another way, what exactly does the Fed know that we don’t?

The whole thing smells fishy to me. Aside from the fact that the Fed clearly leaked its intentions as early as Monday night (hence the reason stocks rallied while credit markets weakened), there’s something peculiar about the fact the Fed chose to do this at the end of November.

Why November 31? Why not today or Tuesday?

I think the answer is that the Fed stepped in to help its institutional investor/ hedge fund buddies. November was a horrible month for this crowd. And with Bank of America approaching $5 per share (a level which would require many institutions to liquidate due to regulations), the Fed was also helping out its favorite insolvent bank as well.

Aside from this, Europe was approaching the End Game. Germany won’t permit the ECB to print nor to issue Euro-bonds. The EFSF plan was dead before arrival, failing to even stage a 3 billion Euro bond auction without having to step in and buy the bonds itself. And the IMF wasn’t going to be an option either.

Put another way, ALL other bailout options had failed for Europe. The Fed was the lender/ intervener of last resort. That alone should have everyone worried as it indicates just how dire things had become in Europe.

However, there’s something far more worrisome about the Fed’s move which is that: IT SOLVES NOTHING..."