"European equity prices fell for the third day in a row and pulled
back near six week lows, breaking below the 50DMA for the first time
since it crossed above on 1/16. Today's drop was the largest in three
weeks as Italian banks were halted (and Spanish banks sold hard),
plunging their most in over three months and back at levels not seen since mid
January. Most Italian banks are down 9-11% in March but BMPS is
down over 24% as Italian sovereign yields start to come unhinged again
(ironically a day after Monti announced the crisis was over). 10Y BTPs
broke back below last Friday's lows (the moment the ECB stepped in last
time to save the day) up over 5.2% yield - catching up to CDS levels (and ITA
spreads are +23bps on the week). Spain is also weak (+15bps on the week) and
heading for 3 month highs in its yields. Since the CDS roll
(March 20th), the sell-off has accelerated with equity and credit
markets tracking lower together (as opposed to the last few months where credit
underperforms and then snaps back higher). We discussed the LTRO Stigma trade
earlier and that has continued sliding notably wider today as
LTRO-encumbered banks hugely underperform. We suspect hedges
(sovereign credit, financial credit, and equity) placed early in the year for
the 3/20 Greece event (among other things) have run off and now managers are
reducing risk in real terms (selling) as opposed to replacing hedges
which is why the uber-supported markets of Italy and Spain are losing the battle
now. Lastly, Europe's VIX is its richest relative to US VIX since the
rally began, jumping dramatically today.
The BE500 (Bloomberg's broad European equity index) dropped for 3
days in a row and the most today in 3 weeks - near 2 month lows..."
at http://www.zerohedge.com/news/european-weakness-spreads-and-accelerates
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