Richard Russell
continues:
“I think what's needed is a lot of patience. Sooner
or later the stock market will show its hand. At this juncture, we have the
pressure of world deflation weighing on ALL the markets. Against that, we have
the various central banks trying to print us into prosperity and at the same
time trying to defeat deflation.
How do you battle deflation? Easy, you print fiat
money until deflation backs off and until signs of inflation appear. But what
happens when you print to kingdom come, and inflation refuses to appear? Well,
in that case your junk currency sinks to near-nothingness, and you leave the
whole deflation problem to the next generation of devaluing geniuses.
I ask myself, why hold any dollars at all? What's
the danger of holding everything in dollars? And my answer is -- when it comes
to investing, nothing is certain. Sure, it looks as though Fed printing (now
that Obama is in for another four years) will continue for the next four years
or, at least, until Bernanke is convinced that he has defeated deflation.
Wait, what could cause Bernanke to halt flooding the
system with his fiat notes? I think runaway inflation in tangible goods and
political pressure could halt the Fed's wholesale manufacturing of Fed notes.
Scandalous bubbles might appear. Bubbles in college costs, bubbles in medical,
bubbles in collectibles, bubbles, in insurance costs, bubbles in food prices,
bubbles in energy costs, bubbles in consumer optimism. Of course, none of this
would appear in the Labor Department's phony CPI statistics. As we all know,
figures don't lie, but liars can figure..."
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