"There are three key highlights in yet another take on Cyprus, this time from
JPMorgan's Robert Henriques: the first, and most obvious, is that "more
extreme scenarios of burden-sharing will not necessarily reinforce investor
confidence" - that much is clear; the second, as we pointed out over
the weekend, is that what happened in Cyprus is a "the death knell for
an EU Common Deposit Guarantee scheme, which was to be an integral part of the
Banking Union proposals" - so much for the key part of
European monetary and fiscal integration. But the third, and most
important, is that "we would
expect future crises to be exacerbated by more extreme deposit
flight. This would likely mean the ECB would have to increase
its presence as liquidity provider of last resort, which, under normal
circumstances, would lead to
increased asset encumbrance and lower recoveries for senior
debt." The problem for Europe, as diligent readers know too well
already, is that asset encumbrance is already at record high levels,
meaning the ability to find "free" assets used to create new loans will be next
to impossible..."
at http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-03-18/jpmorgan-opening-pandoras-deposit-box-means-more-extreme-deposit-flights-future-cris
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