Here is Brusuelas' personal take on the past 80 years of "stable" central banking and floating exchange rate history:
Tensions between policymakers due to volatility in foreign-exchange markets pale in comparison to those induced by the policies of the Great Depression. That period saw tariff and non-tariff barriers imposed by countries attempting to arrest the economic slide that characterized the global economy in 1929-1939. The coordination between the large global central banks that are engaging in competitive QE has avoided the outbreak of protectionism that was observed during the 1930s. In Thucydides’ History of the Peloponnesian War, he stated: “The strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must.” As the large central banks attempt to boost their economies via QE, small and developing countries will likely have to adjust by accepting faster inflation or accommodate to these policy changes by accepting currency appreciation.
Currency warfare summary table:
Keep an eye on the 2007-??? line item. If history is any indication, what follows next will hardly be pleasant for anyone involved.
Source: Bloomberg Brief"
at http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-03-11/presenting-currence-crises-devaluations-and-regime-changes-collapse-gold-standard
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