Kaye:
“Part of the reason we’ve had this smash on gold is
because it was very important to the central bankers and to the BIS that gold
and silver not be seen as a viable alternative currency. The reality is that
the physical above ground stock of gold only increases at roughly 1% to 2% each
year,whereas the amount of digital money that is printed by the Federal Reserve
of US dollars greatly exceeds that by a huge factor....
“Now the central bankers are
devious but not stupid. They know that what I just said is true and they know
that the market will catch on to that very quickly, so it’s very important for
them to manage and suppress the price of gold, and that’s what they have done
through the paper market.
But we are reaching an important
pivot. As I’m talking to you gold is actually under pressure again, but what’s
going on now is the typical gaming that you see which is related to the options
expiry. Options expire tomorrow. This weakness is all by design. These guys
are extremely devious and very coordinated in the way they manage the price of
gold.
The trading action now in gold is
meant to discourage people who have reentered the gold market because of the
improved technicals. But despite the ongoing manipulation we have incredibly
strong fundamentals, one example being the fact that the lease rates for gold
have gone negative and stayed negative for two weeks.
What this means is people are
paying a premium for physical gold today vs taking a paper promise from the
COMEX or a bullion bank for delivery in a week, two weeks, or a month in the
future. So the fact that people will pay a premium for delivery of gold today
tells you everything you need to know.
Negative lease rates simply mean
that the strains are so great in the system, as it relates to delivery of
physical bullion, that banks will pay a premium. This is a bizarre situation.
What this strongly suggests is that the system is breaking down.
It suggests that entities which are
in the know, sovereigns and central banks that want to accumulate gold, they
don’t trust the system anymore. They don’t trust the paper contracts. So the
paper contracts for future delivery trade at a discount to current
delivery.
What the market is saying is, ‘We
want gold today, we don’t want your paper. We don’t want to hear from you JP
Morgan and we don’t trust you COMEX. We want gold and we want it delivered
physically today, and if you can’t do that we don’t want to do business with
you.’
And this is why gold for spot
delivery today trades at a premium to the paper for future delivery in a week, a
month, two months and three months. The gold delivery system is all based on
trust, and trust is breaking down. What this means is that the setup for gold
is as good as if not better than Nasdaq tech stocks in the early
1990s.”
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