Ing: “Unfortunately, the pattern
we have seen in history when countries spend beyond their means and take on too
much debt and can’t pay that debt, then we see default. Default seems
ridiculous because everybody says, ‘America can always print more.’
But we must look at Argentina as
an example. We are going to see the second default in 10 years in Argentina of
sovereign credit. So, unquestionably there is going to be a line in the sand.
It’s going to be twisted and bent line, but just as tapering can’t happen, the
exit is going to be rebranded and it will just be an attempt to pile on even
more debt. The problem is, as we have seen in Europe, it’s unsustainable and it
will end in tragedy.
All of this will be left to
Bernanke’s successor. We also know that because Bernanke’s successor will be
dovish, the harsh reality is that eventually America is going to have to be told
to stop printing. America will essentially be told that they can’t keep
producing dollars to service their debt. But the dollar will experience a major
devaluation. That is what we are going to see rather than
default.
America has been prolific at
debasing its currency, and for a long time everybody has accepted that. But the
problem America faces going forward is the rapid emergence of the Chinese
currency. The Chinese already have one of the top ten currencies in the world.
However, my expectation is that the classic currency choice in the future will
be gold.”
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