Individuals, firms, or governments may end up with too much
debt because of bad luck, bad decisions, or a combination of the two. If you
get a mortgage but then lose your job, you have bad luck. If your debt becomes
unsustainable because you borrowed too much to take long vacations or buy
expensive appliances, your bad behavior is to blame. The same applies to
corporate firms: some have bad luck and their business plans fail, while others
borrow too much to pay their mediocre managers excessively.
Bad luck and bad behavior (policies) can also lead to
unsustainable debt burdens for governments. If a country’s terms of trade (the
price of its exports) deteriorate and a large recession persists for a long
time, its government’s revenue base may shrink and its debt burden may become
excessive. But an unsustainable debt burden may also result from borrowing to
spend too much, failure to collect sufficient taxes, and other policies that
undermine the economy’s growth potential."
at http://www.roubiniblog.com/2014/07/the-international-system-for-orderly.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+NourielRoubiniBlog+%28Nouriel+Roubini+Blog%29
No comments:
Post a Comment