Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Did Gold and Silver Just Get Their “Greenspan Put”?

"The world’s central banks and derivatives traders have been having their usual fun with gold and silver lately, dumping huge volumes of futures contracts into thin markets to produce massive declines — just when precious metals SHOULD have been soaring in response to near-global debt monetization.
But something interesting happened as this latest smack-down really got going. Physical buyers — who goldbugs have for years been expecting to ride to the rescue, finally did. Chinese and Indian gold imports, which had trailed off earlier in the year, soared in response to the recent price declines. There’s some debate about exactly how much these guys are buying, but it certainly looks like they’re talking all that’s being produced by the world’s mines, and then some.
Here’s a chart from gold analyst Koos Jansen showing Chinese imports spiking lately:
Chinese gold imports 2014
In silver, the response of individual coin buyers has been even more dramatic. The US Mint, which in a good month sells 5 million one-ounce silver eagles, sold 2 million of them in two hours on November 5, ran out of inventory, and suspended sales until further notice.
For more on the recent tsunami of precious metals buying, see:
So it looks like physical buyers at long last have decided to tell the precious metals market what the US government and Federal Reserve have been telling the stock, bond and real estate markets markets since the 1990s heyday of Fed chair Alan Greenspan: Relax, we’ve got your back. We’ll short-circuit small declines before they can turn into big ones, and failing that we’ll ramp up a new bubble so quickly that you’ll hardly notice the blip.
There is of course no way to know what the manipulators will do in response, and whether they’ll succeed. They do, after all, have trillions of dollars of fiat currency at their disposal. But at least there’s now a real fight going on in which physical buyers are landing some punches."

at http://dollarcollapse.com/precious-metals/did-precious-metals-just-get-their-greenspan-put/

Jim Rogers 2015 Prediction US Debt Is Much Bigger Than Declared!

"Katie Pilbeam talks about the worrying new estimations on US debt figures with Jim Rogers, a legendary investor author of Street Smarts: Adventures on the Road and in the Markets. As Europe bears the burden of austerity, million-euro salaries continue to be dished out to bankers. Executive Director of DV Advisors Patrick Young tells us if such pay is justified. Can the price of fertiliser affect football? We look at whether that's the case with the Russian football club Anzhi. Plus corporate news and market action in Russian stocks."

at http://jimrogers1.blogspot.com.tr/2014/11/jim-rogers-2015-prediction-us-debt-is.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+blogspot/WOHK+(Jim+Rogers+Blog)

Monday, November 10, 2014

A Tiny Firm That Saw The 1929 Crash Coming Sees Trouble For 2015

"A small firm that predicted the market crash back in 1929 is back with an ominous message.
According to Bloomberg, the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center sees a 65% chance of a recession in 2015.
"Clearly the direction of most of the recent global economic news suggest movement toward a 2015 downturn," said David Levy, the chairman of the Jerome Levy Forecasting Center.
Levy's forecasts contrasts with the consensus of Wall Street, which is confident that growth will continue for years.
Back in 1929, Jerome Levy — grandfather of the current chairman — "didn't like what he saw in his analysis of corporate profits" and rather impressively "sold his stocks before the October crash," reports Bloomberg.
More recently, the group warned that the housing bubble and proliferation of subprime debt would be responsible for the last downturn.
This time around, David Levy is worried about 2015 because the US is significantly involvement overseas, where growth is slowing. Furthermore, he is concerned that an unusually high proportion of disposable income is exposed to the stock market.
To read the full Bloomberg article, click here."
at http://www.businessinsider.com/jerome-levy-1929-crash-recession-2014-11#ixzz3IhATKi77

Reader Question on Greenspan and Gold: "No Fiat Currency Can Match It"

"Reader Stephen is wondering about Greenspan's Stunning Admission: "Gold Is Currency; No Fiat Currency, Including the Dollar, Can Match It"

 at http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2014/11/reader-question-on-greenspan-and-gold.html#jVbbCtlkx4W4Cs3m.99

John Williams' Take On The October Unemployment Report: "The Economy Remains In Terrible Shape"

"When it comes to inflation data, there are two parallel sources: the BLS, and ShadowStats' John Williams, who continues to plough through the underlying "data" using pre-pre-pre-revision protocols, and every month reveals a parallel universe in which something shocking is revealed: the truth. Here is his take on the October "weaker but really stronger than expected" jobs numbers. Here is what really happened.
Never Recovered, the Economy Remains in Terrible Shape.  The large number of opening headlines in today’s (November 9th) missive reflects various stories, ranging from twisted unemployment data, to an election dominated by underlying economic reality, and to headline 2014 financial results on the federal government’s operations that should raise some troubling questions in the markets.  The general outlook is unchanged
Twisted Unemployment Numbers.  Headline October 2014 unemployment reporting, in particular, was skewed heavily by warped seasonal-adjustment factors that do account properly for last year’s government shutdown.  When the U.S. government closed in October 2013, the shutdown encompassed the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) base-period for determining the unemployment and employment detail in the household survey, as well as for determining employment in the payroll survey.  The BLS was unable to determine fully the impact of the government shutdown on the monthly October labor data..."

at http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-11-10/john-williams-take-october-unemployment-report-economy-remains-terrible-shape

China/India Gold Demand: 2013 Déja Vu

"In 2013; a chain of events led to what was (at the time) the greatest stampede into gold in human history. It began with the Cyprus Steal, the West’s first “bail-in”. This led to the realization (by the Smart Money) that no paper assets were safe any longer, within any Western financial institution or market.

In turn, this led to an unprecedented stampede out of the banksters’ paper-called-gold “products”, primarily their ultra-fraudulent bullion-ETF’s. With the paper-called-gold market being 100 times larger than the real (physical) gold market; this naturally caused a plunge in the official price of gold.

It was at this point that the stampede into (physical) gold began. Some of this demand was from the West: sellers of these vast quantities of paper-called-gold suddenly saw the wisdom in holding real bullion: having physical custody of their asset, and thus zero counterparty risk..."

at http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-11-10/chinaindia-gold-demand-2013-d%C3%A9ja-vu

Jim Rogers: By the end of this decade US dollar will lose world dominance

"The dollar will lose its dominant role - that message from President Putin as Russia and China agree to boost trade operations in their national currencies. This comes on the heels of a major gas deal, called the Western route....which coupled with a previous pipeline agreement will make Beijing Russia's largest consumer. RT is joined by Jim Rogers, author and financial commentator..."

at http://jimrogers1.blogspot.com.tr/2014/11/jim-rogers-by-end-of-this-decade-us.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+blogspot/WOHK+(Jim+Rogers+Blog)

Russell - Friday’s Gold Action Is Big Money Anticipating QE4

"Russell’s quick note on gold:  “In recent months, gold has sold off on Fridays. But I thought the counter-activity today was important; gold was up sharply. I check 14 gold items each day and I note that all gold items were higher. I think big money sees QE4 ahead and is protecting itself.”  King World News note:  On Thursday the number of silver bulls plunged to an all-time low, an astonishing 26 percent below what was seen at the bottom of the 2008 collapse, and 8 percent below the previous record low set at the end of 2013.  This is an incredibly important contrarian indicator and extremely bullish for the price of silver going forward."

at http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/11/9_Russell_-_Fridays_Gold_Action_Is_Big_Money_Anticipating_QE4.html

John Embry On The Ongoing War In The Gold & Silver Markets

"Today a man who has been involved in the financial markets for 50 years spoke with King World News about the ongoing war in the gold and silver markets.  Below is what John Embry, who is business partners with billionaire Eric Sprott, had to say.

Embry:  “I am focused on the short-term price action in the gold and silver markets, most particularly this morning.  I think the most predictable event going into this week was that the central bank driven anti-gold cartel was going to make sure that there was no follow through on the notable strength that gold and silver demonstrated on Friday....

“The fact that both are extremely oversold and ridiculously undervalued doesn’t enter into the equation when these guys go to work.  Physical gold and silver, which represent the only real money out there with no counterparty risk, are now such a threat to our rapidly crumbling global fiat currency system that the central banks are going to ever greater lengths to hoodwink the public and keep them away from the two assets.

This is because of the simple reason that these are the only two assets that are going to offer protection when this whole massive Ponzi scheme in currencies, debt instruments, and other financial assets implodes.  But I think people have got to understand what’s going on here and realize how inexpensive gold and silver are.  Instead of people selling their gold and silver they should be buying it hand-over-fist and getting out of these overpriced bonds, stocks, etc..

Over the weekend John Hussman said he believes the stock market is overvalued by at least 50 percent.  I have an enormous respect for Hussman’s work and he is basically saying the stock market would have to fall in half in order to represent real long-term value.  To me this is part of the massive mispricing in virtually all financial assets.  But if the stock market is overpriced, the bond market is preposterously overpriced.


At the same time, real assets such as gold, silver, and oil, have been driven down to levels that are preposterously low.  And the price action is driving a lot of people out of the markets and making them do the wrong thing.  This situation is incredibly dangerous in terms of the long-term health of our financial system and people have to understand what’s going on and hold on to their positions in physical gold and silver.”

at http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/11/10_John_Embry_On_The_Ongoing_War_In_The_Gold_%26_Silver_Markets.html

The Hocus-Pocus of CPI Calculation

"By Joseph Salerno
Zero Hedge explains the scam that is Hedonic Quality Adjustments wherein the Bureau of Labor Statistics manipulates price data so that  large increases in the actual prices of certain products can be transformed into decreasing prices when calculating the Consumer Price Index..."
at http://bastiat.mises.org/2014/11/the-hocus-pocus-of-cpi-calculation/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MisesBlog+%28Mises+Economics+Blog%29

Wednesday, November 5, 2014

A crisis is coming and it is is going to be a nightmare

"Futures Magazine:  What else could the Fed have done?

Jim Rogers:  [They could have done] exactly what the Scandinavians did. In the early 1920s the Federal Reserve raised interest rates. Washington balanced the budget. We had a horrible year or two but then we had the greatest economic decade in American history in the1920s. It ended badly because of excesses. You bite the bullet, you take the pain. The way the system is supposed to work is people get into trouble, they make mistakes, somebody comes along, reorganizes, and they start over from a stronger base. What the West has done is we have gone in and taken the assets away from the competent people, given them to the incompetent people and said to the incompetent people, “now you compete with the competent people with their money.” It is absurd economics, it is absurd morality. It’s insane. Central bankers will tell you it is great. They say don’t worry we are going to withdraw from this slowly and gradually. In 2008 when they were contemplating this, [FOMC] minutes showed that they didn’t know what they were doing but they didn’t know any other choice. …You asked how it is going to end, it is going to end badly..."

at http://jimrogers1.blogspot.com.tr/2014/11/a-crisis-is-coming-and-it-is-is-going.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed:+blogspot/WOHK+(Jim+Rogers+Blog)

Stunning Interview From Market Legend On Gold, Oil & Stocks

"Eric King:  “Victor, we have seen a brutal 3-year cyclical bear market in gold, similar to to the cyclical bear phase we saw in the 1970s, but this is inside of what is a very long secular bull market.  What about the gold market?”

Sperandeo:  “As far as gold is concerned, we saw a rise in the price of gold for 12 straight years.  I don’t know many markets in the history of mankind that have winning streaks for 12 years in a row in one direction.  Gold has since declined from its high set in September of 2011.

We saw a decline in the price of gold of 28 percent in 2013.  And coming into Friday, gold was down another 2.7 percent this year.  So gold has declined roughly 31 percent in the past two years alone, but this was after 12-years of 15 - 16 percent annual compounded returns.  That’s a hell of a run that gold was on.

So as a big holder of gold myself and a big believer of gold fundamentally, I am not concerned at all.  I’m an investor in gold.  This is a rare thing for a trader but I have been an investor in gold for a long time.  I don’t believe that gold is going to go much lower, and the reason I say that is fundamental.

Right now we are at the breaking point for most gold mining companies.  This is a place where production costs are greater than than the current price.  Even Goldcorp recently reported a loss.  But when mining companies start to lose money, many of them will just choose to shut down production because they will be hemorrhaging cash in order to supply the additional gold to an already robust market in terms of physical demand.  Some will keep producing but they will slow production and let go of workers.  This is why you always get contango markets on low-priced commodities.  This happens because nobody wants to sell when prices are too low.  

Part of the reason we have seen additional weakness in gold is because of the recent dollar strength, but I am still a big bull on gold and fundamentally I believe the price is very near its lows.  So to answer your question, yes, we are still in a secular bull market in gold.  I just don’t see another down year for gold and commodities in general, especially after what the Bank of Japan just did.  Nobody has ever done the kind of Kamikaze money printing scheme the Japanese are doing.  This is just another fundamental pillar for gold in its secular bull market and will be extremely constructive for gold over the long-term.”

at http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/11/5_Stunning_Interview_From_Market_Legend_On_Gold,_Oil_%26_Stocks.html

As Gold & Silver Rout Continues, Physical Demand Is Stunning

"With crude oil tumbling over $2 a barrel and the gold and silver rout continuing, today James Turk spoke with King World News about the ongoing smash in gold and silver and what is happening in the physical market for both metals.  Below is what Turk had to say in this timely and powerful interview.

Turk:  “You and I have spoken many times, Eric, about how the central planners are fighting an all out war against the precious metals. Getting PayPal to close the account of the Swiss Gold Initiative in order to stop donations just goes to show how far they are willing to go....

“PayPal’s bending to the will of central planners is just one example of what everyone who owns physical gold and silver is up against. Nevertheless, this example of central planner intervention provides a strong reason why we must not lose sight of what Congressman Howard Buffett, the father of Warren Buffett, said in a brilliant speech in 1948: “In a free country the monetary unit rests upon a fixed foundation of gold or gold and silver independent of the ruling politicians.”

Regardless of whether we call those opposed to the precious metals as “ruling politicians” or “central planners,” it amounts to the same thing. When the government controls the currency and the institutions that circulate it - like PayPal - the government controls the economy and each and everyone one of us, which is a critically important point to recognize. If the central planners are willing to close this PayPal account, it is clear that they are pulling out all the stops in their war against the precious metals. They will do anything they can to perpetuate the fiat currency they issue.

In the final analysis, however, the central planners cannot change reality. This statement of course flies in the face of the anonymous aide to Bush the 2nd who in 2004 told Ron Suskind of the New York Times: “We're an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality.” That exceedingly arrogant statement makes for good chutzpah by a central planner bellowing to a reporter about their own self-importance, but the central planners could not stop reality - let alone create the one they wanted - when in 2007 and early 2008 the financial system started unravelling around them. 

But that brings up the important point about whether gold is still a safe haven. The fundamental question we have to ask ourselves is whether gold’s 5,000 year history as money will end here? Just looking at it logically, it would be the height of folly to conclude that gold’s history ends here and that we can instead forever rely hereafter on government issued currency. Gold’s history did not end in 2008, and it won’t end here. The checkered history of government issued currency and the crises brought about when credit bubbles pop speak for themselves.

There are countless people in the world who understand that the attributes that made gold money pre-history have not disappeared. They've just been ignored or forgotten. For example, in the charts of crude oil prices in the blog we did last week, we can see that gold still provides two key functions of money. Gold is useful in economic calculation, in other words, for measuring prices. Also, gold preserves purchasing power.

An ounce of gold can still purchase the same amount of crude oil as it did a month ago or as the chart in last week’s blog shows, as it did in 1950. It is the dollar that is changing in today’s world of volatile currencies which fluctuate against each other, with each fluctuation resting upon the word uttered by some central planner. So the dollar is strong at the moment, but not because of some fundamental improvement. Rather, it is because the euro and yen are weak..."

at http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/11/3_As_Gold_%26_Silver_Rout_Continues,_Physical_Demand_Is_Stunning.html

Monday, November 3, 2014

The Man Who Got Britain Through The Recession Now Says We're 'Very Exposed' To A New Debt Crisis

"Business Insider: How exposed are we to another financial crisis? 
Household Debt By CountryCEPR Geneva Report
Adair Turner: I think we’re still very exposed. Broadly speaking, what has happened since the crisis is that we have shifted leverage around the world but we haven’t gotten rid of it. This is the great conundrum to which we don’t yet have an answer.
In the UK and Spain and in Ireland and most dramatically in the US, there has been some deleveraging. But there has been a more than offsetting increase in public sector debt. So for every percentage point decrease in private sector debt as a percentage of GDP, there’s been a more than percentage point increase in public debt. Total leverage across the global economy has gone up.
We still don’t seem to know how to run our economies without credit growing somewhere faster than GDP, but that produces an eventual crisis..."

at http://www.businessinsider.com/adair-turner-talks-about-uk-household-debt-2014-10#ixzz3I2QHb3Lg

Saudi Arabia Raises Asia, Europe Prices; Cuts US Prices

"It appears, just as we warned two weeks ago, that the 'dumping strategy' designed to punish Obama's nemesis Putin could have morphed into a Saudi Arabian strategy to keep its foot on the neck of the US Shale Oil industry. In an awkward headline for mainstream media to explain, The Kingdom has raised prices of its Arab Light crude exports to Asia and Europe but cut prices to the USA significantly, potentially pressuring domestic suppliers with foreign 'cheap' imports. While not a primary course of US oil, we suspect the signaling of this move is more worrisome for Shale capex  (especially as we noted Saudi Arabia can survive 7.9 years at lower prices) Forget currency wars, meet oil wars...

One of these regions is an up-and-coming marginal oil-producer with the swing-barrel of production

So while we understand if Saudi Arabia is employing a dumping strategy to punish the Kremlin as per the "deal" with Obama's White House, very soon there will be a very vocal, very insolvent and very domestic shale community demanding answers from the Obama administration, as once again the "costs" meant to punish Russia end up crippling the only truly viable industry under the current presidency. As a reminder, the last time Obama threatened Russia with "costs", he sent Europe into a triple-dip recession. It would truly be the crowning achievement of Obama's career if, amazingly, he manages to bankrupt the US shale "miracle" next."

at  http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-11-03/saudi-arabia-raises-asia-europe-prices-cuts-us-prices

Yellen Shocked After Fisher Again Reveals Fed Is Source Of Record Inequality

"As Janet Yellen prepares to meet with President Obama this morning for the first time, it appears The Dallas Fed's Richard Fisher has planted a rather uncomfortable tape bomb for her to explain:
  • FISHER: QE3 WAS A GIFT TO THE RICH
So right before the Midterm elections, a week after Janet Yellen discussed inequality, she is summoned to meet with The 'fair' President to explain how her policy is keeping Obama's dream alive?
*  *  *
Janet Yellen becomes aware of the inequality "problem"...

And maybe understands why...

*  *  *
To those that suggest QE was a victory, we have words and pictures...
If it was so successful, why did they stop?

and does this look like the chart of a successful monetary policy action?"

at http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-11-03/yellen-shocked-after-fisher-again-reveals-fed-source-record-inequality

Most People Cannot Even Imagine That An Economic Collapse Is Coming

"The idea that the United States is on the brink of a horrifying economic crash is absolutely inconceivable to most Americans.  After all, the economy has been relatively stable for quite a few years and the stock market continues to surge to new heights.  On Friday, the Dow and the S&P 500 both closed at brand new all-time record highs.  For the year, the S&P 500 is now up 9 percent and the Nasdaq is now up close to 11 percent.  And American consumers are getting ready to spend more than 600 billion dollars this Christmas season.  That is an amount of money that is larger than the entire economy of Sweden.  So how in the world can anyone be talking about economic collapse?  Yes, many will concede, we had a few bumps in the road back in 2008 but things have pretty much gotten back to normal since then.  Why be concerned about economic collapse when there is so much stability all around us?
Unfortunately, this brief period of stability that we have been enjoying is just an illusion.
The fundamental problems that caused the financial crisis of 2008 have not been fixed.  In fact, most of our long-term economic problems have gotten even worse.
But most Americans have such short attention spans these days.  In a world where we are accustomed to getting everything instantly, news cycles only last for 48 hours and 2008 might as well be an eternity ago.
In the United States today, our entire economic system is based on debt.
Without debt, very little economic activity happens.  We need mortgages to buy our homes, we need auto loans to buy our vehicles and we need our credit cards to do our shopping during the holiday season.
So where does all of that debt come from?
It comes from the banks.
In particular, the "too big to fail banks" are the heart of this debt-based system.
Do you have a mortgage, an auto loan or a credit card from one of these "too big to fail" institutions?  A very large percentage of the people that will read this article do.
And a lot of people might not like to hear this, but without those banks we essentially do not have an economy.
When Lehman Brothers collapsed in 2008, it almost resulted in the meltdown of our entire system.  The stock market collapsed and we experienced an absolutely wicked credit crunch.
Unfortunately, that was just a small preview of what is coming.
Even though a few prominent "experts" such as New York Times columnist Paul Krugman have declared that the "too big to fail" problem is "over", the truth is that it is now a bigger crisis than ever before.
Compared to five years ago, the four largest banks in the country are now almost 40 percent larger.  The following numbers come from a recent article in the Los Angeles Times...
Just before the financial crisis hit, Wells Fargo & Co. had $609 billion in assets. Now it has $1.4 trillion. Bank of America Corp. had $1.7 trillion in assets. That's up to $2.1 trillion.
And the assets of JPMorgan Chase & Co., the nation's biggest bank, have ballooned to $2.4 trillion from $1.8 trillion.
At the same time that those banks have been getting bigger, 1,400 smaller banks have completely disappeared from the banking industry.
That means that we are now more dependent on these gigantic banks than ever.
At this point, the five largest banks account for 42 percent of all loans in the United States, and the six largest banks account for 67 percent of all assets in our financial system.
If someone came along and zapped those banks out of existence, our economy would totally collapse overnight.
So the health of this handful of immensely powerful banking institutions is absolutely critical to our economy.
Unfortunately, these banks have become deeply addicted to gambling.
Have you ever known people that allowed their lives to be destroyed by addictions that they could never shake?
Well, that is what is happening to these banks.  They have transformed Wall Street into the largest casino in the history of the world.  Most of the time, their bets pay off and they make lots of money.
But as we saw back in 2008, when they miscalculate things can fall apart very rapidly..."

at http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/most-people-cannot-even-imagine-that-an-economic-collapse-is-coming

Worried About Gold / Silver Smash & Repression - Read This

"Today King World News is featuring a piece by a man whose recently released masterpiece has been praised around the world, and also recognized as some of the most unique work in the gold market.  Below is the latest exclusive KWN piece by Ronald-Peter Stoferle of Incrementum AG out of Liechtenstein.

In our last “In Gold we Trust” reports, we extensively discussed the topic of financial repression. Financial repression always consists of a combination of different measures, which lead to a significant narrowing of the universe of investable assets for investors. Money, which in a more liberal investment environment would have flowed into other asset classes, is channeled in a different direction. The goal of financial repression is an indirect reduction of government debt by means of the targeted manipulation of the cost of government debt, most of the time accompanied by steady inflation.Financial repression is ultimately a government-imposed transfer of wealth...."

at http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/11/1_Worried_About_Gold___Silver_Smash_%26_Repression_-_Read_This.html

Stunning Facts About China, Russia & End Of Gold Bear Market

"Today a legend who was recently asked by the Chinese government to give a speech to government officials in China spoke with King World News about the end of the gold bear market as well as stunning facts about China and Russia.  John Ing, who has been in the business for 43 years, also spoke about why available supply to the gold market is about to be substantially reduced.

Ing:  “It’s auspicious that it’s a trick-or-treat market. The trick is that the collapse in gold and silver, particularly gold -- having retested the $1,180 chart point three times, it violated it today. Second is that the S&P and Dow Jones are making new highs. All of this is coming after the Fed’s announcement that quantitative easing is over....

“And there is a terrific correlation between the S&P and quantitative easing, with the S&P being up roughly 40 percent as quantitative easing injected something like $4 trillion. So we know where that money went. At the same time, the GDP numbers came out and all this contributed to the strength in the U.S. dollar.

The ‘treat’ for gold investors is that physical buying remains very strong. Evidence coming out of China suggests that they have already bought somewhere around 1,500 tons of gold and they will probably buy at least another 200 tons before the end of the year. So they continue to buy at better than 100 tons each month. This evidence comes from the drawdowns on the Shanghai futures exchange, where in one week alone they withdrew 68 tons of gold. The Chinese have been buying the gold that we are selling in the West.  

The other big buyer of course has been Russia. Russia has been buying gold as a hedge against the dollar. We know that Russia has well over 1,000 tons of gold now. So when you add together China, Russia, and let’s not forget India, you have incredibly strong physical demand for gold.

But we also have gold stocks coming out with their earnings in this third quarter. And other than Barrick, we have seen that a lot of the gold companies' problems in the past are now coming home to roost. Barrick is trading at a 22-year low even after reporting profits. Yamana Gold had to take a billion-dollar writedown. Goldcorp is also having problems at a major project. B2Gold also disappointed. 

What this tells me is that at the current price of gold it’s very difficult for the gold miners to produce an ounce of gold. This will put a further crimp on supplies to the market when the market is experiencing incredibly robust physical demand. But we have never seen the mining stocks as technically cheap as they are today.

Finally, my portfolio manager out of Paris has done some very fine work looking at Comex gold dating back to 2011. He looked at the bullion short position and since June 2013 we had four peaks in terms of short interest. After each peak in the non-commercial short interest there has been a dramatic run-up in the price of gold as high as 40 percent on the turnaround.  


I believe we have peaked in the last week or so in terms of the non-commercial gold shorts. So I think we are within days of this turnaround in gold. The U.S. dollar is incredibly overbought and the technical evidence shows that gold is very oversold. This situation should reverse itself shortly and gold should begin a rather lengthy and large move to the upside. This also means the gold bear market is finally coming to an end.”

at http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/11/2_Stunning_Facts_About_China,_Russia_%26_End_Of_Gold_Bear_Market.html

Silver Is One Of The Greatest Opportunities In World History

"With a price that has been under so much pressure, this would normally suggest that silver demand has been weak and the market is being overwhelmed by supply, but that’s not the case.  The demand for silver coins from the U.S. Mint has risen dramatically and there has been continued demand from the industrial side, which takes up the lion’s share of supply.

People have to remember that in the aftermath of World War II there were massive inventories of silver in the world.  And following the Hunt Brothers attempt to corner the market in the 1970s, above ground inventories remained huge.  But all of these above ground inventories have been absorbed as physical demand has outstripped mine supply for many, many years.

Also, the majority of silver mine supply comes as a result of base metals mining.  With the world now moving inexorably toward a recession/depression, and with excess supply everywhere, the demand for base metals is going to decline sharply.  This will curtail production and mean there will be less silver byproduct.

So I see an extremely positive supply/demand situation building here at a price that is remarkably discounted for silver.  What doesn’t get discussed is the fact that not too long ago roughly 1/3 of the industrial demand for silver was related to photography.  But all of that demand from photography has disappeared and been replaced by solar demand, medicinal demand, etc..  And these new sources of demand continue to grow well beyond what we used to see from photography.

But because the paper manipulation is beyond remarkable, silver remains as undervalued an asset as I have ever seen.  As an example, in the last 135 trading days the silver price has declined in the thinly traded access market 130 times at the open.  So to be clear, in the early hours of the east coast of the United States silver has declined at the opening of trading 130 out of the last 135 trading days.  That is preposterous.  And some of these declines have been precipitous.

This is purely manipulation by high-frequency and algorithm programs and it sets the tone for each trading day and permits the powers that be to keep the pressure on the price.  This is all part of how they attempt to keep the public away from gold and silver.  But gold and silver are the only real money and it remains the arch enemy of the failing fiat currency system.  So the central bankers are in overdrive here trying to discredit gold and silver.

Sadly the Western governments and central banks have failed their citizens and are now trying one last time to keep things afloat.  Unfortunately they are going to fail, and all investors can do as that day of failure rapidly approaches is to own physical gold and silver in order to protect themselves.  This is the most dangerous time in world history, both economically and financially -- strictly on the leverage in the financial system -- and the sad truth is that I don’t even think we are going to recognize the world when this is over.”

at http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/11/3_Silver_Is_One_Of_The_Greatest_Opportunities_In_World_History.html