Thursday, December 12, 2013

Spectacularly Bullish Gold News We Haven’t Seen In 3 Years

"Rick Rule - Incredibly Positive News, We Haven’t Seen This In 3 Years

Rule:  “There are a great many things I think the KWN readers will want read in this interview if they are looking for glimmers of hope in the gold, silver, and resource markets.  First, has been with regard to our Sprott mutual funds we are seeing net inflows, as opposed to redemptions, for the first time in a long time....

“The net-flow of funds at the Sprott level has been positive, which as you know hasn’t been the case in this bear market in the last 3 years, Eric. 

The second thing is that we recently signed and funded a joint venture with the incredibly large Chinese state-owned mining company.  This will show that outbound investment by the Chinese government into the junior mining sector, which is what we’ve specifically been charged with, is alive and well.  

The third thing is that we expect to be able to announce a similar joint venture with another name-brand Asian investor by the end of 2013.  Once again, this is testimony to the fact that Asian strategic investors are back in the junior mining sector in earnest..."


Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Singapore – China Agreement Yet Another Sign of Ongoing Decline In U.S. Dollar

"Finance executives in Asia see the writing on the wall. They can see that the dollar is
economy-usdollar8 in a period of terminal decline, and that the Chinese renminbi is going to take tremendous market share away from the dollar – and they want a big piece of the action. To that end representatives of the Hong Kong Exchange and the Singapore Exchange, THE two dominant financial centers in Asia,  have signed an agreement to combine their forces in rolling out more financial products denominated in Chinese renminbi. This has massive consequences for the global financial system – and the future of the U.S. dollar.

The renminbi has already surpassed the euro to become the #2 most-used currency (8.6%) in the world when it comes to trade settlement, according to a report released yesterday by the Society of Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT). The U.S. dollar has the lion’s share of trade settlement (+80%) but just look at how quickly the renminbi has grown; in January 2012, its share of the global market was just 1.9% so it has grown by nearly a factor of 5x in less than two years and, with today’s agreement between Hong Kong’s and Singapore’s financial exchanges, that growth will likely accelerate.
As we’ve discussed before, the dollar is in a unique position simply because it is the world’s dominant reserve currency. When a rice distributor in Vietnam does business with a Brazilian merchant, they close the deal by trading US dollars with each other… even though neither nation actually uses the dollar. It’s been this way since World War II, simply because there has been such a long tradition of trust in the United States, and a steady supply of dollars throughout the world, but this confidence is fading rapidly as merchants and banks around the world have been seeking alternatives, primarily the Chinese renminbi.
As the dollar’s market share in international trade decreases, it will mean the end of US financial privilege. No longer will the U.S. be able to print money without repercussions and, as so many other nations have learned the hard way, when you print money with wanton abandon and indebt your nation to the hilt, there are severe consequences to pay.
Today’s move between Hong Kong and Singapore gives us a glimpse into this future. We’ll soon see more financial products – oil, gold, Fortune 500 corporate bonds, etc. denominated in renminbi and traded in Asia and, as trade in these renminbi products grows, the dollar will be closer and closer to its reckoning day.
Years from now when this has played out, it’s going to seem so obvious. Just like the post-Lehman crash in 2008, people will scratch their heads and wonder– ‘why didn’t I see that coming?’…Duh. Same thing. People will look back in the future and wonder why they didn’t see the dollar collapse coming… why they didn’t recognize that it was a bad idea for the greatest debtor nation in the history of the world to simultaneously control the global reserve currency…
The warning signs are all in front of us and today’s agreement between Hong Kong and Singapore is one of the strongest signs yet."

Absolutely Stunning Developments In The War On Gold

"Today the man who predicted the recent takedown in the gold market ahead of time spoke with King World News about some absolutely astonishing developments in the war on gold.  William Kaye, who 25 years ago worked for Goldman Sachs in mergers and acquisitions, also answers the all-important question, have we bottomed in the gold market or not?  Below is what Kaye had to say in his powerful and timely interview.

Kaye:  “Wholesale demand for gold has been very strong.  We have also seen central bank demand for gold very strong at these levels as well.  Quite frankly I’m surprised we haven’t seen a bifurcated market yet....

“What I don’t know at this point is how much gold the central planners have access to in order to continue to try to hold prices at depressed levels.  The other question is, ‘Why would central banks in the West knowingly and intentionally allow this massive migration of physical gold from West to East at such depressed levels?’

The answer to that is a real mystery, but it continues.  My own feeling is the equilibrium price for gold is probably twice where it is currently trading, and possibly even higher.  All other forms of portable wealth that I can identify, none of which have thousands of years of history as money like gold, have already reached or are now approaching all-time highs.

If you look at diamonds, including pink diamonds -- all-time records.  Look at the art market, including art that’s really not that special, that’s also hitting all-time highs at the auctions.  I enjoy wines, but what I don’t like is having to pay twice what I had to pay two years ago for fine wines.  That’s what has been happening.  Every two or three years the fine wines of France and Italy are doubling.

It’s the same story with rare maps.  To me this is all very fascinating because every other identifiable form of portable wealth has done extremely well this year, with most hitting all-time highs.  And yet gold and silver are languishing well below the highs that were reached in 2011.  It’s really nonsensical except for the fact that the manipulation footprints are clearly present.

We are seeing backwardation in the gold market once again, and this seems to be the case now on a daily basis.  We have GOFO rates which had been mildly positive, but now, particularly in the near-term, they have also crept back into being negative.

These are the same types of things we were discussing at the end of June, early July, when conditions were tremendously strained and prices for gold and silver were particularly low and deeply suppressed.  As you may remember, gold rallied subsequently roughly $250 off of those lows.

So, again, we have now returned to those conditions that we saw prior to the significant rally in gold, and I think the question for the KWN readers around the world should be, ‘Is this a double-bottom?’  It certainly looks like a classic double-bottom to me.  On top of that we are now seeing the same bullish indicators in place that launched the last massive rally in gold.


So that’s where we are, and, again, just like June and July, the investor sentiment in the sector has recently reached new lows.  The bottom line here is all of this suggests that the gold market will go significantly higher from here, and quite possibly much, much higher.  Meaning, it looks as though we have now seen the end of the cyclical bearish phase in gold and the wind should now be at the backs of the longs.”

Monday, December 2, 2013

15 Signs That We Are Near The Peak Of An Absolutely Massive Stock Market Bubble

"Remember, a bubble is always the biggest right before it bursts, and the following are 15 signs that we are near the peak of an absolutely massive stock market bubble...
#1 Bob Shiller, one of the winners of this year's Nobel Prize for economics, says that "bubbles look like this" and that he is "most worried about the boom in the U.S. stock market."
#2 The total amount of margin debt has risen by 50 percent since January 2012 and it is now at the highest level ever recorded.  The last two times that margin debt skyrocketed like this were just before the bursting of the dotcom bubble in 2000 and just before the financial crisis of 2008.  When this house of cards comes crashing down, things are going to get very messy...
"When the tablecloth gets pulled out from under the place settings, you're going to have a lot of them crash and smash on the floor," said Uri Landesman, president of Platinum Partners hedge fund. "That margin's going to get pulled and everyone's going to have to cover. That's when you get really serious corrections."
#3 Since the bottom of the market in 2009, the Dow has jumped 143 percent, the S&P 500 is up 165 percent and the Nasdaq has risen an astounding 213 percent.  This does not reflect economic reality in any way, shape or form.
#4 Market research firm TrimTabs says that the S&P 500 is "very overpriced" right now.
#5 Marc Faber recently told CNBC that "we are in a gigantic speculative bubble".
#6 In the United States, Google searches for the term "stock bubble" are at the highest level that we have seen since November 2007 - just before the last stock market crash.
#7 Price to earnings ratios are very high right now...
The Dow was trading at 17.8 times the past four quarters of earnings of its 30 components, according to The Wall Street Journal on Friday. That was up from 13.7 times its earnings a year ago. The S&P 500 is trading at 18.7 times earnings. The Nasdaq-100 Index is trading at 21.5 times earnings. At the very least, the ratios are signaling that stock prices are rich.

at  http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/15-signs-that-we-are-near-the-peak-of-an-absolutely-massive-stock-market-bubble

China Gives Thanks For Cheap Gold

"Just a quick Thanksgiving morning update on China’s gold imports, which continued at extraordinary levels in October. To put the 131 tonnes in perspective:
  • Until recently there was an agreement in place that limited European central bank gold sales to 400 tonnes per year, because any more than that was seen as disruptive. Now China buys that much in a single quarter.
  • The world’s gold mines outside of China produced about 200 tonnes in October, which means China alone bought 65% of global gold production.
  • Since the beginning of 2012, China has imported over 2,000 tonnes of gold, an amount equal to about 2/3 of the official reserves of Germany.
  • China’s domestic gold mines produce around 300 tonnes a year, all of which stays in-country. So China’s total reported gold accumulation is 2,500 tonnes in just the past 22 months. And that does not include gold entering the country from other ports, which could be considerable."
China gold imports Oct 2013 final version

Housing Bubbles Worldwide : We are witnessing in many countries a slow-motion replay of the last housing-market train wreck

"In countries where non-recourse loans allow borrowers to walk away from a mortgage when its value exceeds that of their home, the housing bust may lead to massive defaults and banking crises. In countries (for example, Sweden) where recourse loans allow seizure of household income to enforce payment of mortgage obligations, private consumption may plummet as debt payments (and eventually rising interest rates) crowd out discretionary spending. Either way, the result would be the same: recession and stagnation.

What we are witnessing in many countries looks like a slow-motion replay of the last housing-market train wreck. And, like last time, the bigger the bubbles become, the nastier the collision with reality will be.
- in project-syndicate"

Germany's regulators investigate manipulation in the gold market - See more at: http://ausbullion.blogspot.com/2013/12/germanys-regulators-investigate.html#sthash.uxqlajTp.dpuf

"German financial regulator BaFin has started an official investigation of suspected manipulation of benchmark gold and silver prices set by a number of international banks.

The information regarding the investigation was reported by the Wall Street Journal Deutschland. WSJ journalists got an official confirmation from a BaFin spokesman: "Apart from Libor and Euribor, BaFin is also looking into other benchmark setting procedures at individual banks such as for gold and silver prices".

During the last year, the biggest global banks have been found guilty of rigging benchmark lending rates and manipulating the world's interest rates derivatives market that involves trading in contracts that have a total notional value of tens of trillions of dollars. It is not surprising that after finding out that banks rigger Libor benchmark rates, Euribor benchmark rates, settlement values for currencies and a number of reference prices in the energy sector, regulators suspect that the banks may manipulate the gold and silver markets. BaFin spokesman mentioned that the German regulator is not alone in its suspicions and that there are similar investigations taking place in the United Kingdom and the US, without providing further details.

During the last several years, a number of NGOs and market participants have come up with allegations that the big investment banks are actively manipulating the benchmark rates for gold and silver. So far, these allegations haven't been proven in court but it should be taken into account that none of the whistleblowers, NGOs or market participants have the legal and administrative resources of state regulators like BaFin, Securities and Exchanges Commission or the Financial Conduct Authority. NGOs like the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee have repeatedly tried to make regulators investigate the gold markets but they had no success until the Libor scandal broke out. Investigations that revealed the massive manipulations and cartel-like schemes in the interest rates and currency markets have followed a similar course. They started with allegations coming from outside observers, then the whistleblowers from the banks helped the investigators prove that the banks were involved in massive market manipulations."

at http://voiceofrussia.com/news/2013_11_29/Germanys-regulators-investigate-manipulation-in-the-gold-market-7326/ - See more at: http://ausbullion.blogspot.com/2013/12/germanys-regulators-investigate.html#sthash.uxqlajTp.dpuf

Monday, November 25, 2013

Inflation is Raging – If You Know Where to Look

"Most people – certainly most governments and economists – define inflation as a general rise in prices. But this is wrong. Inflation is an increase in the money supply, of which a rising general price level is just one possible result – and not the most common one.
More often, excessive money creation shows up as asset bubbles, where the new money, instead of flowing equally to all the products that are for sale at a given time, flows disproportionately into the ‘hottest’ asset classes. Readers who were paying attention in the 1990s might recall that the consumer price index was well-behaved while huge amounts of money flowed into financial assets, producing the dot-com bubble.
The same thing happened in the 2000s, when excess currency flowed into housing and equities. In each case, mainstream economists and government officials pointed to modest consumer price inflation as a sign that things were fine. And in each case they were simply looking in the wrong place and completely missing the destabilizing effects of an inflating money supply.
Now we’re at it again, with economists, legislators and central bankers using low consumer price inflation as a rationale for even easier money, while ignoring epic bubbles in sovereign bonds, equities, high-end real estate and collectibles around the world. These bubbles are the true evidence of inflation, and since they’re growing progressively larger, it’s accurate to say that inflation is high and accelerating. Let’s take some exotic examples, first from the art world:

Art prices painting a disturbing picture of inflation

The Francis Bacon painting “Three Studies of Lucian Freud” was sold for a whopping $142.4 million as part of a $691.6 million Christie’s sale on Tuesday night, making it the most expensive work of art ever sold at auction.

at  http://dollarcollapse.com/inflation/inflation-is-raging-if-you-know-where-to-look/

Andrew Maguire - Physical Markets For Gold & Silver On Fire

"On the heels of continued pressure in gold and silver, London metals trader Andrew Maguire spoke with King World News about the incredible demand taking place around the world for both physical gold and silver, and how this is being reflected in the stunning and record premiums.  KWN also has an update on bullish sentiment.

After another week of continued pressure in the gold and silver markets, we have finally seen both gold and silver bullish sentiment fall to the historic lows seen on June 28th.  There are now a stunning 63% fewer gold bulls than what was seen at the peak level of 2011.  Moving to silver, there are now an astonishing 73% fewer silver bulls than the high set in 2011...."

at http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2013/11/23_Andrew_Maguire_-_Physical_Markets_For_Gold_%26_Silver_On_Fire.html

Friday, November 22, 2013

China Announces That It Is Going To Stop Stockpiling U.S. Dollars

"China just dropped an absolute bombshell, but it was almost entirely ignored by the mainstream media in the United States.  The central bank of China has decided that it is "no longer in China’s favor to accumulate foreign-exchange reserves".  During the third quarter of 2013, China's foreign-exchange reserves were valued at approximately $3.66 trillion.  And of course the biggest chunk of that was made up of U.S. dollars.  For years, China has been accumulating dollars and working hard to keep the value of the dollar up and the value of the yuan down.  One of the goals has been to make Chinese products less expensive in the international marketplace.  But now China has announced that the time has come for it to stop stockpiling U.S. dollars.  And if that does indeed turn out to be the case, than many U.S. analysts are suggesting that China could also soon stop buying any more U.S. debt.  Needless to say, all of this would be very bad for the United States.
For years, China has been systematically propping up the value of the U.S. dollar and keeping the value of the yuan artificially low.  This has resulted in a massive flood of super cheap products from across the Pacific that U.S. consumers have been eagerly gobbling up.
For example, have you ever gone into a dollar store and wondered how anyone could possibly make a profit by making those products and selling them for just one dollar?
Well, the truth is that when you flip those products over you will find that almost all of them have been made outside of the United States.  In fact, the words "made in China" are probably the most common words in your entire household if you are anything like the typical American.
Thanks to the massively unbalanced trade that we have had with China, tens of thousands of our businesses, millions of our jobs and trillions of our dollars have left this country and gone over to China.
And now China has apparently decided that there is not much gutting of our economy left to do and that it is time to let the dollar collapse.  As I mentioned above, China has announced that it is going to stop stockpiling foreign-exchange reserves...
The People’s Bank of China said the country does not benefit any more from increases in its foreign-currency holdings, adding to signs policy makers will rein in dollar purchases that limit the yuan’s appreciation.
“It’s no longer in China’s favor to accumulate foreign-exchange reserves,” Yi Gang, a deputy governor at the central bank, said in a speech organized by China Economists 50 Forum at Tsinghua University yesterday. The monetary authority will “basically” end normal intervention in the currency market and broaden the yuan’s daily trading range, Governor Zhou Xiaochuan wrote in an article in a guidebook explaining reforms outlined last week following a Communist Party meeting. Neither Yi nor Zhou gave a timeframe for any changes.

at  http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/china-announces-that-it-is-going-to-stop-stockpiling-u-s-dollars

The Debt Bubble is only getting bigger

"“I see a bubble in everything that relates to the financial sector,” Marc Faber the author of the Boom Gloom & Doom report told CNBC on Tuesday. He puts bonds, low-quality bonds and equities on the top of that list. “If you look at the financial sector as a percentage of the global economy, it’s very large. We have a huge debt bubble, and it’s only getting bigger. It’s not getting any smaller.”

at http://www.marcfabernews.com/2013/11/the-debt-bubble-is-only-getting-bigger.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+MarcFaberBlog+%28MARC+FABER+BLOG%29#.Uo-l-cR22m4

War In Gold Intensifies As Massive Battle Rages In London

"Today the man who predicted the recent takedown in the gold market ahead of time told King World News that the war in gold has now greatly intensified as a massive battle is now raging in London.  William Kaye, who 25 years ago worked for Goldman Sachs in mergers and acquisitions, not only spoke about the war in gold, but he also shared with KWN additional news about the West’s increasingly desperate actions in gold, as well as catalysts that will change the course of the battle.  Below is what Kaye had to say in this fascinating and powerful interview.

Kaye:  “The major news that nobody cares about is China has now announced something we’ve been anticipating for quite some time, which is they are now going to be invoicing their oil imports in renminbi.  This is another major step in China sidestepping the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency...

“This means that China will have bilateral trading arrangements with Russia and the other major countries, such as Iran, that provide energy to China.  So, again, this is another brick out of the wall for the US dollar and by the same token US hegemony. 


But nobody seems to care, and if you noticed, instead of gold spiking $50 or $100 higher on that news, it was smashed lower.  In a way this should come as no surprise because this is exactly what has happened on gold bullish news practically all year..."


Monday, November 18, 2013

Stunning Events To Create A Historic Financial Earthquake

"Today 50-year veteran Art Cashin warned King World News about the historic events taking place in the major markets, including gold.  Cashin, Director of Floor Operations at UBS ($650 billion under management), also spoke with KWN about the massive accumulation of gold by the Chinese and the flow of gold from West to East.

Eric King:  “Art, you’ve been warning recently about the great danger, the fact that the Fed is employing so much leverage.  KWN published a piece of yours which included comments from a couple of individuals, including Peter Tchir.  Can you talk about the danger of this leverage that the Fed is employing for the listeners (and readers) globally?”

Cashin:  “The Fed has bought up significant amounts of some of the (Treasury) issuances, particularly the 10-Year, in trying to affect rates further out.  They’ve become a dominant factor.  And I wonder how they can get to tapering because they have become kind of addicted in these purchases.

The Japanese are not buying (US Treasuries) at the rate they were buying a year ago.  The Chinese are not buying Treasuries at the rate they were buying a year ago.  So you begin to wonder, how can the Treasury manage if the 3rd leg of the stool, which is the Fed, comes apart?  So, there will be a good deal of pressure there.  They talk about, ‘Tapering is not tightening,’ but the markets may see it another way.  

Now, that having been said, they have induced the banks, who can’t get in a full lending cycle, to take the money that the Fed gives them when it buys the bonds in its quantitative easing program, and they are leaving them in the vault at the Fed under their name.  And that’s in the trillions of dollars. 

Now there is no inflation at this time because that money has no velocity.  It’s locked up.  But the great concern here is should that money begin to gain velocity, that could turn into a sudden and sharp inflationary pressure, virtually coming out of nowhere.

And I do not believe the Fed would be able to stop that by raising rates.  I think they would have to take more drastic measures, perhaps raising reserve requirements, which would be like hitting the economy in the head with a two-by-four.”

“Orwellian Propaganda,” Delays & A Catastrophic Ending

"As the Dow breaks 16,000, and pressure on the gold and silver markets continues, today a man who has been involved in the financial markets for 50 years, and whose business partner is billionaire Eric Sprott, spoke with King World News about “Orewellian propaganda,” delays, and a catastrophic end game.  Below is what John Embry had to say in this fascinating and timely interview.

Embry: “As you know, Eric, sentiment in the silver market is even more negative now than it was at the historic low set on June 27th.  But nothing has changed on silver.  People need to understand that there is a lot more demand for physical silver than there is actual silver coming out of the ground.


Obviously the people running this paper scam are going to every above ground source in order to get inventory to keep the price from exploding....

“The fundamentals are so powerful in terms of the supply/demand for silver, and when you superimpose on top of that the monetary debasement we will have to experience in coming years, I strongly believe that in the fullness of time silver will be one of the greatest bull markets in the history of the world.

You are talking today about a price today of roughly $20 for silver, but you will see triple-digits before this is over, and even way beyond that if things continue to unfold in a hyperinflationary manner.”

The 21st Century would belong to Asia — and in particular, China

"The 19th century may have belonged to England and the 20 century to the United States, but the 21st century belongs to China, says American investor Jim Rogers.
Rogers, the billionaire co-founder of the privately owned hedge fund Quantum, made the comments on Nov. 16 at an economic forum in Nanjing, the capital of east China's Jiangsu province, according to a report from the state-owned China News Service.
During his speech, Rogers said he has strong confidence in China's future development based on his personal experiences over the years. The 71-year-old said he has toured the world twice, the first time in 1990 when he visited more than 50 countries in nearly two years, and again in 1999 when he visited 116 countries over three years. He said he was certain that the 21st century would belong to Asia — and in particular, China — the first time he visited Nanjing in 1984, when China was undergoing reforms and opening up."

Friday, November 15, 2013

The History Of Debt



at http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-11-15/history-debt

A Look At the Great Chinese Gold Rush



"China is taking over the world one gold bar at a time. The infographic below shows
 how, in the space of a few decades, it has developed a huge appetite for the world’s physical gold.
The above words of Will Bancroft (the realasset.co.uk) are edited excerpts from the introduction to his following infographic* entitled Tracing The Great Chinese Gold Rush."

at http://www.munknee.com/look-great-chinese-gold-rush/

Gold To Begin a Parabolic Rise In 2014 – Here’s Why



at http://www.munknee.com/gold-to-begin-a-parabolic-rise-in-2014-heres-why/

Asian Central Banker’s Shocking Confession About The West

"“I was struck by the fact that one of the central bankers did volunteer to me that most central bankers are aware of the fractional reserve nature of the Western gold banking system, and its vulnerabilities.”

Eric King:  “Chris, that’s staggering that this man admitted central banks outside of the West understand that the West is essentially running a Ponzi scheme with regards to the Western gold market.”

Powell:  “He clearly acknowledged their understanding that gold does not back all of the claims to gold that are floating around the world financial system, particularly when it comes to the West.  You would probably never get a central banker to acknowledge that publicly, but that is precisely what he said to me off the record.” 

Eric King:  “Chris, the fact that you were in Asia presenting to these two key central banks, and this central banker admitted that the word is out amongst the central banks that the West is running a Ponzi scheme, an unbacked paper gold scheme, and when you see all of this massive accumulation of gold by China, Russia, and various other BRIC nations, it does in fact appear the word has leaked out about the Western scheme.”

Powell:  “Certainly the Asians know what is going on -- I mean, that’s where the gold is going.  The Western central banks obviously know -- they have evaded virtually all of my questions.  I would bet my life, Eric, that despite all of the public acrimony between the United States and China, the Fed and the People’s Bank of China are on the phone every day consulting about the gold market.  
They are doing a very delicate dance as China tries to hedge its disproportionate US dollar foreign exchange reserves with gold and other hard assets, without exploding both markets (gold and the dollar).  I don’t think anything major happens in the gold market from day to day without China’s consent.  China could blow up the gold market any time it wanted.  It could also blow up the US dollar market, the US interest rate market and bond markets any time it wanted. 

I can tell you that after speaking to this central banker, and hearing his very candid confession, that all of the major central banks know what’s going on.  This doesn’t mean that all of them are involved in the scheme as the United States, China, and Britain are, but they know, and they know how vulnerable the system is.  Meaning, it is delicate and could come crashing down if not properly managed from day to day.
As an example, another central banker admitted to me off the record that, yes, the gold price is ‘of profound interest to central bankers.’  Well, that is just confirming what I said to you.  I don’t want to give away too much information here because I want to respect my contacts around the world, but the reality is that the gold market is micro-managed, despite all the incessant denials.” 

Eric King:  “William Kaye was telling KWN the Western scheme is nearing its end because they are running out of physical gold to continue the scheme.”

Powell:  “We see these enormous volumes of gold moving from West to East, sometimes through Switzerland.  We saw the disparity in the Bank of England’s gold vaulting reports between February and June, where 1,200 tons of gold seemed to disappear.  When I asked the Bank of England about that they basically told me to drop dead and they would have no further comment on the matter.

All of this echoes what Kaye is saying.  We can see these gold outflows from the West, and we can also see the inflows to the East.  We don’t know exactly when the metal will run out, but we do know we have seen this movie once before.  This is exactly what happened when the London Gold Pool was drained.
The pool collapsed and there were emergency US Air Force transport flights, according to the Federal Open Market Committee Meeting Minutes, flying gold over from the United States to the Bank of England in 1968.  This was at a time when the Bank of England was advancing its own gold into the market on behalf of the United States, in an attempt to hold the gold price at $35 an ounce.

In March of 1968, the outflow of gold had reached hundreds of tons per week.  At that point, the nations participating in the Long Gold Pool realized they had only a few weeks’ worth of gold left at that staggering rate of outflow.  So, they closed the London Gold Pool.  

The dollar price of gold literally failed at that point.  The price of gold was $35 an ounce of gold one day, and the next day there was no price at all because there was no official market.  I suspect that either that will happen, and the gold that is available will run out, or more likely the central banks will see what’s coming and arrange an international currency revaluation.  At that point there will be chaos in the gold and currency markets, but in the end this will mean substantially higher gold after the official reset of the international gold price.”

The Ingredients For A Massive “Crash” Are Now In Place

"...“The Schiller P/E is now 25.  The historic earnings multiple is 19.  This is a pretty weird place to start a new bull market from.  In any event, the market has been rising for 5 solid years.  This is as long as the market normally rises without some sort of correction.

But because of QE, and because Mrs. Yellen isn’t going to do anything different anytime soon, I think we just have to accept that the market is going to go higher and P/E ratios will continue to expand, making this market even more expensive.  The thing is that in bubbles you can get quite a bit more expensive than this.

The bad news is that if you normally have your 4-year setback in the 3rd year of the decade, this is like winding a spring for the 4th, 5th and 6th years of any decade to be strong.  The next time you run the risk is in the 7th year, going into the 8th year.

If you look back at the last several decades, it’s either 1987, 1997, or 2008 when you get the really nasty corrections or bear markets.  Having said that, my work says this is not the start of a new secular bull market.  You don’t start bullish secular trends from 25 times earnings, after a 5-year continuous rise.

If you look at the S&P 500, divided by the purchasing power or PPI, you will see what it buys in real dollars.  It gives the image that this really is a secular downtrend that started in the year 2000, and in ‘real money’ we are absolutely nowhere near making a new high.  For that matter, neither are any of the Western markets.

But only in devalued money are the US, German, and British stock markets on the cusp of going into new highs, and in bubbles that’s what happens.  But people should understand that the ingredients for a crash going into early 2014 are already in place.

If you look at sentiment, you normally begin a major move in despair and despondency.  You grow stock prices through climbing a ‘wall of worry‘ and cynicism.  You lose momentum when people become confident.  And when they are universally telling you, ‘We’ve got a great recovery, nothing could possibly go wrong,’ you are probably near a top.”

Griffiths added:  “The secular trend for gold is still absolutely intact.  The entire fall from $1,900 was similar to what we witnessed in the 1970s, and just a normal Fibonacci retracement in a bull market.  We will have to wait and see where the ultimate low is for gold, but the notion that the secular uptrend is dying is incorrect.  

My bet is that $1,180 will probably hold, and next year not only will gold go through $1,900, but up to about $2,500.  This will shock many market participants.  After that we go on in the next year to the $3,000 area.  We are also keeping our eye on high quality gold stocks because as soon as gold itself starts to go, these stocks will fly.  You can buy some of them at less than book value, and the share prices are typically 80% off their highs.  They also pay dividends."