Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Are Michigan and Illinois like Greece and Ireland?

"US states are a lot like Eurozone nations.
  • Investors are concerned about the possibility of state default, especially for states like California, Michigan, and Illinois, just as they are concerned about possible defaults for European periphery countries like Greece, Ireland, and Portugal.
  • The largest states pull roughly the same economic punch as the largest European countries.
California’s economy is larger than Spain and approximately 90% the size of Italy. Michigan, despite its recent industrial decline, still has an economy larger than Greece, Portugal, or Ireland taken separately.
  • US states are in a dollar currency union, just like Eurozone members are in a euro one.
In addition, there are many economic, legal, and political linkages between states just as there are similar, but weaker, linkages among European countries.
  • Reinhart and Rogoff’s (2008, 2009) comprehensive work gives us timely reminders that Eurozone countries like Greece, Spain, Austria, and Greece have defaulted before in the 1930s and 1940s, just as some US states have.
Eight states went bankrupt in the 1830s and 1840s, ten states went bankrupt in the late 1800s, and the last state default was Arkansas in 1933..."

at http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/6487

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