Saturday, November 19, 2011

Either the ECB Prints and Germany Walks… or the EU Sees a Domino Debt Collapse Followed by Systemic Failure

"By now, even the mainstream media is realizing what I’ve been saying for well over a year: that the EU in its current form is finished.

I initially believed that we would see Greece kicked out of the EU. However, at this point it looks much more likely that it will be GERMANY who leaves.

The reason is quite simple really. Germany WILL NOT tolerate debt monetization. They’ve seen how that situation plays out (Weimar) and will not allow it again, END OF STORY. If the ECB opts to print money, Germany is out.

So… the only other option for the EU to last is the leveraged EFSF. However, as we’ve seen, that option is a dead end as well:

No new Euro zone money for debt crisis at G20

The Euro zone won verbal support but no new money at a G20 summit on Friday for its tortured efforts to overcome a sovereign debt crisis, while Italy was effectively placed under IMF supervision.

Leaders of the world's major economies, meeting on the French Riviera, told Europe to sort out its own problems and deferred until next year any move to provide more crisis-fighting resources to the International Monetary Fund.

"There are hardly any countries here which said they were ready to go along with the EFSF (Euro zone rescue fund)," German Chancellor Angela Merkel told a news conference...."