"If the global economy is not heading for a recession, then why is global
shipping slowing down so dramatically? Many economists believe that measures of
global shipping such as the Baltic Dry Index are leading economic indicators.
In other words, they change before the overall economic picture changes. For
example, back in early 2008 the Baltic Dry Index began
falling dramatically. There were those that warned that such a rapid
decline in the Baltic Dry Index meant that a significant recession was coming,
and it turned out that they were right. Well, the Baltic Dry Index is falling
very rapidly once again. In fact, on February 3rd the Baltic Dry Index reached
a low that had not been seen since August 1986. Some economists say that there
are unique reasons for this (there are too many ships, etc.), but when you add
this to all of the other indicators that Europe is heading into a recession, a very frightening
picture emerges. We appear to be staring a global economic slowdown right in
the face, and we all need to start getting prepared for that..."
at http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/why-is-global-shipping-slowing-down-so-dramatically
at http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/why-is-global-shipping-slowing-down-so-dramatically