Sunday, December 23, 2012

Maguire - Shocking $2.89 Premium For Physical Silver In China

"...Maguire also added: “One of the things I wanted to talk to you about today was something I saw in Shanghai early this morning. Eric, I had to double-check, in fact I had to triple-check. We’re talking about the kind of divergence (in the physical market) now that’s unprecedented.
Today I looked at the opening premiums and there was a $2.89 disparity in silver. I’m not talking gold. When spot silver was trading in London at $29.61, silver actually traded at $32.50 (in Shanghai).
 
If you take an equivalent Comex contract, and I realize spot isn’t Comex, but if you take an equivalent 5,000 ounce Comex contract, that equates to a $14,430 premium per contract. I mean it’s ludicrous. There are reasons why you may or may not have a premium in Shanghai, but not to that extreme.
 
Shanghai (softened but) still closed at a $6,100 premium to equivalent Comex contracts. So what we’re saying here is that the divergence has now become ridiculous. I mean these high and low closing premiums literally illustrate the massive divergence between the paper market (and the physical market).
 
And, Eric, this is on an exchange (Shanghai) that within the next two years is actually going to become the world hub of physical gold and silver trading. It’s going to have its own fixes. So I think they (the manipulators) really pushed it a little too far today.
You’ve (also) got the short-selling algorithms, and they have absolutely no or little if any input relating to the physical market. So if this price turns against them, they are not going to understand why it has turned. They won’t understand the fact that central banks have been buying 6, 12, 20 (tons of gold), and I still haven’t even got the numbers for today, but there was very large physical take-up (today as well).
So when it (price) turns, they are not going to understand what’s happened, they will just follow it. But the concern to the bullion banks (here) is they are fully aware of the physical drain, and I absolutely guarantee you that they are going long on this final stage of the selloff.
Price up to now has really been assisted by (US) government defense of the dollar in the over-the-counter FX gold markets, but the central banks (out of the East) and the bullion banks are (now) jointly buying this discount.”

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