Wednesday, September 3, 2014

Message from Top Managers: “Prepare for Turmoil”

"...More and more of the world’s top (hedge) fund managers are joining in. It will probably not be a surprise to you that the most critical investors, like Marc Faber, have been underlining this for a while already. It is much more interesting, however, to look at investors who felt positive until recently, among which is Jeffrey Gundlach. The ‘Bond King’ has clearly changed his mind about the markets and he is also one of the best market timers in the financial world. Gundlach has become increasingly cautious about stocks in particular and he feels that the stock market is generously valued in this economic climate. He foresees profits declining in the near future, which does not bode well for share prices. Gundlach also noticed that the masses are increasingly invested in the stock market; never before have investors taken on so much debt in order to buy stocks on the NYSE.
NYSE margin debt
Source chart: Dshort.com
This is also an indicator that seems to have hit its ceiling. When ‘margin debt’ declines, you can expect a strong correction; another great point from Gundlach. However, talking the talk does not equate to walking the walk. That is something we do not see yet in his case. Especially not with regards to stocks. He is taking up a position indirectly by doubling down on a further increase in bond prices, however, which is obviously the area where the Bond King feels best..."

at http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-03/message-top-managers-%E2%80%9Cprepare-turmoil%E2%80%9D

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